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Red22
383832.2
7310.3
409315.6
Blue8
159112.3
155118.2
2034.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44840100150200228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3838
#14
32.22.3
28.626.2
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
20
#28
34.03.6
43.039.4
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
4093
#33
15.62.3
11.18.8
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1551
#30
18.25.7
25.519.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
73
#44
10.32.3
12.510.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1591
#39
12.35.7
12.36.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0