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Red92
301540.9
559024.2
279132.0
Blue43
166023.3
17424.8
23409.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804901001509243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#12
40.90.7
32.232.9
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
red by 16.1
174
#32
24.80.9
19.118.2
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
2791
#20
32.00.7
28.128.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 8.7
1660
#22
23.30.6
22.321.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
5590
#19
24.21.0
17.618.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 14.3
2340
#43
9.90.6
14.313.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0