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Qual 72015 Finger Lakes Regional
Red128
226516.0
525457.2
280912.5
Blue143
155930.5
301540.9
383832.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57540204080100120140128143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#1
57.23.5
32.4→36.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 16.3
3015
#12
40.95.7
30.3→36.0
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Second
2265
#31
16.05.1
7.8→12.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 16.2
3838
#14
32.27.1
11.3→18.4
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
2809
#42
12.55.9
17.4→23.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 18.0
1559
#15
30.57.1
16.1→23.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0