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Red114
222845.7
559024.2
304429.1
Blue121
279132.0
159112.3
150751.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757460708090100110120114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.72.6
33.035.7
Auto0.2
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
51.63.1
38.841.8
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
3044
#26
29.12.1
34.636.7
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2791
#20
32.02.5
29.331.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5590
#19
24.23.6
9.713.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 11.9
1591
#39
12.34.2
8.412.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0