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Red54
493033.8
124133.6
395123.5
Blue91
318116.9
150751.6
403962.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791350501001502002503005491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
blue by 28.8
4039
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
Second
1241
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 18.0
1507
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Third
3951
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
3181
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.8
End0.0