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Red15
57831.9
315726.5
34062.6
Blue55
133421.3
300344.0
543310.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127630501001502002501555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 18.6
3003
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
578
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
1334
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
3157
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 16.4
5433
Unranked
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0