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Red136
383832.5
124133.6
543310.0
Blue88
128527.7
37824.6
493033.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718505010015020025013688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4930
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
Second
3838
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 4.8
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
5433
Unranked
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 14.6
378
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0