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Red146
112643.8
29112.6
525471.3
Blue132
540666.8
23409.9
222848.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412080100140160180146132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 4.5
5406
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2228
Unranked
48.50.0
48.548.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Third
291
Unranked
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
2340
Unranked
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0