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Red55
133421.3
222848.5
317329.7
Blue36
395123.5
128527.7
63922.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102650501502005536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
Unranked
48.50.0
48.548.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 20.7
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
3173
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 6.3
3951
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
1334
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
639
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0