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Red17
2044.3
318116.9
37824.6
Blue125
57831.9
158516.6
525471.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7512305010015020025017125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 27.0
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
Second
378
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 7.3
578
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
3181
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
1585
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0