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Red100
22231.9
403962.6
315726.5
Blue56
540666.8
304429.1
301542.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313805020025030035010056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5406
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
222
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 10.9
3015
Unranked
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
3157
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3044
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0