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Red2
300344.0
34621.9
151818.2
Blue18
493033.8
23409.9
383832.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8372204060100120140160180218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 10.2
4930
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
Second
346
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 10.6
3838
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
1518
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 8.3
2340
Unranked
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0