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Red94
140532.8
34062.6
503045.5
Blue191
1114105.8
155940.8
150751.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12320405010015025030035094191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 43.2
1114
Unranked
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
Second
5030
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
1507
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Third
1405
Unranked
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
1559
Unranked
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0