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Red104
37824.6
57831.9
403962.6
Blue144
128527.7
112643.8
22231.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11896050150200250104144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
red by 18.8
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
578
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Level
222
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
378
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 3.1
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0