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Red129
395123.5
300344.0
540666.8
Blue18
543310.0
34621.9
19138.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14354010020025030012918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
red by 27.9
191
Unranked
38.90.0
38.938.9
Auto0.1
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Second
3003
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 22.1
346
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
3951
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 13.4
5433
Unranked
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0