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Red236
112643.8
540666.8
1114105.8
Blue8
318116.9
383832.5
395123.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403901001502003003504002368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
red by 73.4
3838
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
5406
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
red by 43.3
3951
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 26.8
3181
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.8
End0.0