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Red66
128527.7
304429.1
503045.5
Blue139
34621.9
34062.6
525471.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8716205020025030066139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
blue by 25.8
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
Second
3044
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 33.5
340
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Third
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
346
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0