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Red137
34047.6
19546.5
493031.3
Blue82
87021.6
279129.3
111120.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11860010015020025013782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
47.60.4
43.543.9
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 18.3
2791
#12
29.30.3
29.029.3
Auto0.9
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
195
#3
46.50.4
42.342.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 24.9
870
#28
21.60.3
21.321.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
4930
#18
31.30.4
27.227.6
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 10.4
1111
#21
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0