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Red110
285262.2
30356.1
420318.6
Blue184
34047.6
19546.5
493031.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810950150200250110184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.5
62.762.2
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
red by 14.6
340
#4
47.61.1
44.946.1
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
303
#1
56.10.5
56.556.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 9.6
195
#3
46.51.1
43.844.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
4203
#25
18.60.5
19.118.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
4930
#18
31.31.1
28.629.7
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0