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Red58
362424.3
52724.0
279129.3
Blue102
28736.9
493031.3
300330.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5243020608010012058102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#12
29.30.4
15.415.9
Auto0.9
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 7.6
287
#6
36.94.7
12.817.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
3624
#22
24.30.4
17.117.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4930
#18
31.34.7
18.823.5
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
527
#17
24.00.4
20.020.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3003
#14
30.04.7
14.018.7
Auto4.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0