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Red80
558520.3
524010.7
34047.6
Blue94
285262.2
503036.4
33310.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29840501001502008094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
47.63.4
25.228.6
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 14.6
62.20.8
55.656.4
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
5585
#16
20.33.4
5.58.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 16.1
36.41.3
15.216.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5240
#33
10.73.4
8.211.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
333
#32
10.30.9
7.88.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.5
End0.0