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Red88
19546.5
87021.6
304433.9
Blue49
166527.4
81018.5
25020.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434340506070808849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
46.52.5
19.521.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 19.1
1665
#11
27.40.4
12.012.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
3044
#10
33.94.1
11.215.3
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 13.1
250
#26
20.80.4
13.914.3
Auto1.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
870
#28
21.64.1
14.118.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
810
#30
18.50.3
18.618.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0