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Red72
192326.6
524010.7
28736.9
Blue77
34047.6
51496.5
300330.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5351204060801007277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#6
36.91.6
20.121.7
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 10.7
340
#4
47.61.9
28.130.0
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
1923
#13
26.61.0
21.622.6
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3003
#14
30.01.9
20.722.6
Auto4.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5240
#33
10.71.6
11.112.7
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 4.2
5149
#34
6.51.9
5.87.7
Auto0.9
Teleop5.6
End0.0