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Red70
493031.3
285262.2
81018.5
Blue62
63922.3
426617.5
14522.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106380501502007062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.21.5
56.655.1
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
red by 39.5
145
#23
22.81.5
19.320.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
4930
#18
31.32.4
23.120.7
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
639
#20
22.31.5
22.724.2
Auto1.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
810
#30
18.51.5
19.618.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
4266
#27
17.51.5
7.89.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0