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Red40
36876.2
28736.9
33310.3
Blue90
19546.5
503036.4
450813.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38600501001502004090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#6
36.90.3
21.721.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 9.5
195
#3
46.51.6
27.729.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
333
#32
10.30.2
11.411.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 26.1
36.42.6
19.121.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
3687
#36
6.20.3
10.09.7
Auto0.3
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4508
#31
13.82.6
12.114.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0