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Red49
63922.3
192326.6
87021.6
Blue88
111120.9
52724.0
285262.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579501502004988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#13
26.60.5
22.622.1
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 35.6
62.20.2
55.154.9
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
639
#20
22.30.8
24.223.4
Auto1.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
527
#17
24.00.4
23.222.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
870
#28
21.60.8
18.017.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
1111
#21
20.90.4
14.013.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0