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Red60
14522.8
362424.3
525432.4
Blue28
426617.5
26344.0
524010.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59573040507080906028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#15
32.40.1
17.917.8
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 11.5
263
#5
44.01.6
37.335.7
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
3624
#22
24.30.1
22.122.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
4266
#27
17.52.6
9.36.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
145
#23
22.80.1
20.820.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 12.1
5240
#33
10.72.6
12.710.1
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0