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Red89
25020.8
304433.9
14522.8
Blue113
2039.1
558520.3
52724.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5676010015020025089113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#10
33.92.1
22.524.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 5.2
20
#8
39.12.9
33.736.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
145
#23
22.82.1
20.822.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
527
#17
24.02.9
22.825.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
250
#26
20.82.1
18.220.4
Auto1.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.5
5585
#16
20.32.9
19.322.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0