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Red75
34047.6
63922.3
19546.5
Blue8
51496.5
450813.8
362424.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10130050150200250758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
47.60.9
39.038.1
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 23.4
3624
#22
24.32.5
23.721.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
195
#3
46.50.6
33.532.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 32.7
4508
#31
13.82.5
12.19.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
639
#20
22.30.9
20.819.9
Auto1.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 15.8
5149
#34
6.52.5
6.33.9
Auto0.9
Teleop5.6
End0.0