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Red99
53321.0
22925.3
525432.4
Blue193
285262.2
166527.4
30356.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39134010015020025099193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#15
32.44.0
17.221.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 29.8
62.23.4
57.460.8
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
Second
229
#19
25.32.8
21.724.4
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 30.8
303
#1
56.13.4
48.251.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop56.4
End0.0
Third
533
#24
21.04.0
16.420.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1665
#11
27.45.0
18.723.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0