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Red131
25020.8
426617.5
30356.1
Blue102
28736.9
166527.4
14507.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8760050100150200131102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
56.12.5
53.556.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 19.1
287
#6
36.92.3
35.637.9
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
250
#26
20.82.8
17.920.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
1665
#11
27.42.3
26.028.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
4266
#27
17.52.8
14.717.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
1450
#35
7.32.3
5.07.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.5
End0.0