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Red147
53321.0
493031.3
19546.5
Blue112
192326.6
34047.6
304433.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6898050150200250147112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
46.54.2
37.341.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 1.2
340
#4
47.60.8
41.842.7
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
4930
#18
31.34.7
21.626.3
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3044
#10
33.90.8
31.132.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
533
#24
21.04.7
16.321.0
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1923
#13
26.60.8
23.924.7
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0