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Red68
313824.3
198536.2
101429.6
Blue36
124923.3
14433.3
566719.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552203040607080906836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#11
36.20.9
24.425.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
144
#19
33.30.8
22.021.2
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
1014
#17
29.61.2
19.020.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
1249
#31
23.30.8
21.020.2
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
3138
#12
24.31.2
13.014.2
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
5667
#23
19.10.8
11.110.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0