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Red81
452125.3
155940.8
62016.8
Blue48
332410.8
437110.6
428419.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5825040801001201408148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.5
30.531.9
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 21.0
4284
#37
19.81.9
8.010.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
4521
#15
25.32.2
13.916.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 14.6
3324
#45
10.81.6
13.114.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
620
#30
16.81.5
10.111.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
4371
#43
10.61.3
9.610.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0