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Red50
493521.1
504014.0
369221.8
Blue64
377716.5
408547.7
402836.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28910501502005064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3692
#28
21.81.1
17.518.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 26.0
47.71.4
39.638.3
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
4935
#32
21.11.1
13.614.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 15.7
4028
#20
36.81.0
37.336.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Third
5040
#42
14.01.0
7.88.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3777
#24
16.51.7
7.76.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0