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Red109
369221.8
101429.6
326628.0
Blue87
176425.4
300017.8
53324.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6248020408010012010987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#17
29.62.6
18.320.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
1764
#26
25.41.8
18.520.3
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
3266
#18
28.02.4
25.928.3
Auto1.9
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 3.9
533
#33
24.11.8
20.522.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
3692
#28
21.82.6
17.720.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.9
3000
#22
17.82.9
12.815.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0