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Red17
457529.3
266514.6
437110.6
Blue70
313824.3
55414.6
377716.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50320204060801001201770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#35
29.31.6
21.920.3
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
3138
#12
24.31.9
17.319.2
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
2665
#38
14.61.8
16.514.7
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3777
#24
16.52.8
7.810.6
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4371
#43
10.61.6
11.09.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
554
#39
14.62.8
11.314.1
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0