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Red38
428419.8
42837.3
402836.8
Blue44
326628.0
566719.1
332410.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59572040801001203844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#20
36.81.1
36.635.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 8.8
3266
#18
28.00.8
28.327.4
Auto1.9
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
4284
#37
19.81.8
8.16.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
5667
#23
19.10.8
17.016.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4283
#47
7.31.8
14.813.0
Auto0.5
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3324
#45
10.80.8
15.514.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0