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Red50
369221.8
217210.8
14433.3
Blue44
70636.7
208131.6
53324.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518101001502002505044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#19
33.30.2
21.822.0
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
706
#9
36.71.5
29.427.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Second
3692
#28
21.80.2
20.320.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
2081
#25
31.61.5
27.826.3
Auto0.6
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
2172
#46
10.80.2
15.215.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 13.3
533
#33
24.11.5
22.220.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0