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Red129
313824.3
23344.1
124923.3
Blue102
421327.1
452125.3
493521.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77510100150129102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#5
44.12.7
31.434.0
Auto6.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 17.0
27.12.2
21.223.4
Auto0.9
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Second
3138
#12
24.32.7
17.820.5
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4521
#15
25.33.7
20.324.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
1249
#31
23.32.7
26.729.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
4935
#32
21.12.2
15.818.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0