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Red123
566719.1
103826.3
428419.8
Blue125
12043.1
53324.1
14132.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3187050100150200250123125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#16
26.36.9
18.225.0
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 16.8
120
#2
43.12.2
31.333.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
4284
#37
19.86.9
6.413.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 12.3
141
#7
32.12.2
28.831.0
Auto1.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
5667
#23
19.14.1
16.120.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
533
#33
24.12.2
20.823.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0