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Red26
457529.3
332410.8
42837.3
Blue93
198536.2
421327.1
369221.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477401001502002693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#35
29.31.3
22.220.8
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1985
#11
36.21.0
30.531.5
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
3324
#45
10.81.3
13.912.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 16.3
27.11.0
23.324.4
Auto0.9
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Third
4283
#47
7.32.2
16.814.5
Auto0.5
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 14.4
3692
#28
21.81.0
18.419.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0