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Red12
566719.1
208131.6
319327.8
Blue83
408547.7
564411.0
452125.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708202003004001283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#25
31.63.1
27.524.4
Auto0.6
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 16.1
47.70.0
46.346.3
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
3193
#21
27.83.1
23.920.8
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
4521
#15
25.30.0
28.528.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
5667
#23
19.13.1
22.719.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
5644
#41
11.00.0
8.18.1
Auto-1.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0