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Red89
23344.1
62016.8
446720.8
Blue91
12043.1
504014.0
70636.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568301001502002508991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#5
44.11.3
36.037.3
Auto6.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
120
#2
43.10.5
35.936.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
4467
#13
20.81.3
13.214.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 16.0
706
#9
36.70.5
29.429.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
620
#30
16.81.3
12.914.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
5040
#42
14.00.5
15.916.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0