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Red102
414539.1
493521.1
427515.6
Blue78
53324.1
266514.6
319327.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675202040608010012014010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#10
39.11.7
43.144.8
Auto0.5
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 11.3
3193
#21
27.81.1
20.821.8
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
4935
#32
21.11.7
19.321.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
533
#33
24.11.1
23.424.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
4275
#40
15.62.9
4.87.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
2665
#38
14.61.1
12.413.5
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0