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Red82
12043.1
566719.1
377716.5
Blue54
217210.8
176425.4
475310.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79340501001502008254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#2
43.10.4
36.436.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 17.7
1764
#26
25.40.6
22.022.6
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
5667
#23
19.10.4
19.619.9
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
2172
#46
10.80.6
10.711.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
3777
#24
16.50.6
18.919.5
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 5.9
4753
#44
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0