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Red114
53724.3
300017.8
23344.1
Blue177
14433.3
4858.9
332410.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6486050100150200250114177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#5
44.12.2
37.339.5
Auto6.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 14.8
48
#3
58.94.6
51.455.9
Auto0.7
Teleop58.2
End0.0
Second
537
#29
24.32.2
19.922.2
Auto0.6
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 9.0
144
#19
33.34.6
21.626.2
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
3000
#22
17.83.5
12.315.7
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
3324
#45
10.84.6
12.617.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0