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Red52
414539.1
437110.6
446720.8
Blue126
421327.1
101429.6
402836.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678705015020025030052126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#10
39.10.7
44.844.1
Auto0.5
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
4028
#20
36.82.0
37.039.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
4467
#13
20.80.7
14.613.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 8.9
1014
#17
29.62.0
25.527.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
4371
#43
10.60.7
13.212.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 16.5
27.12.0
24.426.3
Auto0.9
Teleop26.2
End0.0