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Red61
53324.1
369221.8
493030.3
Blue16
55414.6
124923.3
504014.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744902040601001201401606116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#27
30.30.6
29.228.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
1249
#31
23.31.9
27.625.6
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Second
533
#33
24.10.6
24.523.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 9.6
554
#39
14.63.0
10.87.8
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
3692
#28
21.80.6
19.518.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
5040
#42
14.01.9
16.414.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0