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Red44
266514.6
198536.2
566719.1
Blue42
103826.3
369221.8
33725.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637501001502002503003504004442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#11
36.21.2
32.731.6
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 9.9
1038
#16
26.32.5
29.727.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
5667
#23
19.11.2
19.918.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 6.2
337
#36
25.31.7
27.625.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
2665
#38
14.61.2
14.713.6
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 7.2
3692
#28
21.81.7
18.917.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.3
End0.0